Saturday, 20 December 2014

Lacking Credentials is Five Years Old!

Good evening,

I am, I think, a lot older and a lot wiser than I was when I started doing this, so hopefully the quality of the posts has improved over time, but some things have not changed:

Canada still has a broken political system and a dearth of political leadership.  Federal and provincial (municipal has been a little better) elected officials care more about prestige, appearances, and pissing contests that protect their own little fiefdoms than they do about doing the work they were elected to do.  Politicians prefer show-boating and photo-ops to hard work and substance, and as a result the country's political scene is a bubble, or an echo chamber as it were, that interests very few people.

The media landscape is as nasty and depressing as it was five years ago, with a few glimmers of light and some minor changes.  The Post has some smart people writing for it now who use their brains and are critical, after the emerging from the strident and partisan pro-Israel, pro-Conservative dreck machine it was under the Asper family.  The paper no doubt retains this bent but Paul Godfrey is a hands-off businessman, not a spoiled rich-kid ideologue.  The Globe has for the most part left the clutches of Bell but struggles to shrug off the midtown Toronto elitist bien-pensant current that permeates way too much of its content.  The Post has also taken over the Sun newspaper chain from Quebecor and will probably keep it the toilet paper that it always was.  Here in Montreal I have the treat of the same toilet paper en francais which is the Journal de Montreal, proud organ of the separatist opposition after years of inscrutable pandering to the lower classes with no discrenable political leanings, now that its owner is a PQ politician.  The Star meanwhile remains the concerned paternal figure it always has been, with some decent scoops. Jesse Brown's Canadaland has really lifted my mood.

The world remains a chaotic and unfair place. Wars rage, economies crash, commodities are volatile. Yet fortunes are made every day.  At the same time, Canada is home to more poverty and suffering than maybe we realize.  McMansions are as popular as ever, and so are food banks.  I'm more zen about the whole thing then I was five years ago because I have realized that with the passage of time, things have a way of more or less sorting themselves out.  But I'm not under any illusions that things are getting better. They've been getting better for me, but that doesn't give me license to be ignorant and give the old bootstraps speech, which seems to be our natural instinct as humans when we are fortunate, unfortunately.

My output has really dropped off the last two years.  I will take the easy way out and blame my kids.  I have maintained output nonetheless.  I am proud of this blog because over 50,000 people have looked at it and it remains a constant thing in my life which has otherwise changed profoundly in many ways.  2015 promises more, new, exciting changes: what, I cannot yet say, because I do not know.  But I am on the cusp of graduate studies (yes, credentials), and I feel like professionally I am starting to hit a stride which might finally take me somewhere interesting (notice I never talk about my day job on here).

I don't know if the blog will change in some way or migrate to a new platform - it probably could use an injection of pizzazz of some sort - but I do know that keeping this on life support has been worth it, because there is always something to talk about and anyone, even one person, who engages in the slightest with the challenges our country faces in a way they hadn't thought of before after coming here makes it all worthwhile.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 2015 from Lacking Credentials.  Thank you for your patience while I try to think of a way to bestow the greatness I think this blog is destined for on it.

Happy Birthday Mom

Tuesday, 11 November 2014


So let's recap.  In less than three weeks, you've been fired from a multiple-six-figure gig at the CBC hosting the country's most popular radio show, had a thirty foot mural of yourself removed from the CBC lobby, been dropped by your publisher (Penguin), disowned by your former band mates (moxy fruvous), let go of by the artist whose career you had managed (lights), and been informed through the media that your participation in hosting the prestigious Canadian awards events for the Giller Prize (literature) the Polaris Prize (music) and Canada's Walk of Fame was no longer needed.  The nation has been transformed into a feeding frenzy of piranhas, articles about you and the cascading tide of revelations about your life sometimes occupying most or all of the top 5 most popular stories on the country's major news outlets.  A kicking ourselves in the collective ass is occurring in the Canadian nation, everyone wondering how we did not see, behind that velvety voice, behind that slick but just rough enough demeanour, lived a tyrant, an egomaniac, a serial abuser of the awesome power he had gained? The story morphed and unfurled in directions we never could have imagined, parliamentarians past and present coming forward with accounts of abuse in what has been, after all, always referred to somewhat creepily as an "old boys club".  Respected and hardened female columnists have come forward in their fifties and sixties with stories of rape from their youth that they never felt the need to share until now, making all those eyeballs privy to the trauma they have lived with alone, for all these years.  And because of all this your name, the one you were born with and will live with forever, will never mean the same thing to anyone in Canada again.

Is this just? Is this fair? Has anyone you can think of gone from untouchable to radioactive in this amount of time? You can ask Tom Flanagan about it, who reasonably mused once in a talk to university students that pedophiles might cause less damage to society if they were able to access artistic child porn that did not use real subjects.  An Idle No More member who took issue with Flanagan's position and comments on the unrelated issue of his movement put the comments up, out of context on Youtube, and smeared him as a child pornography supporter.  Tom eventually did get his job, his reputation, and his column in the globe back, but he wrote a book about what happens when the twitter mob gets ahold of their tweet-shaped pitchforks in the Internet age.  The "Court of Public Opinion"s migration to the interwebs means the judgement is more swift, reactionary, and emotional than ever, and while permissiveness and liberal attitudes prevail as consensus on matters of social conscience in our society, the crowd can turn vicious when the wrong emotional chord is struck or the wrong taboo is  dredged up.

I am not trying to be a contrarian here defending a radioactive former radio host.  He did, after all, bring this upon himself.  The truth of the matter is that he claimed when he tried to get in front of the story on his facebook page that these were "private matters" and that his "private life should remain private".  As I pained myself to point out earlier this year on this blog, in January, when the hapless French president's extra-conjugal trysts were the stuff of tabloid fodder, when you are an official or unofficial public figure, there are certain sacrifices you make.  Period.  If you refuse to make them, then you are guilty of having a strong sense of entitlement and therefore unfit for the office you hold. You don't have "rights like everybody else". You are a somebody, not a nobody.  And the last thing all the nobodies out there who look up to you need to see is your deviant, dangerous, degenerate behaviour which you've somehow rationalized to yourself is ok for a person in your position to be engaged in.

Woody Harrelson's character Marty Hart in the show True Detective summed it up best in one of the first episodes, ominously alluding to his former partner "When a man is a certain age...and he doesn't have a family..." You start to wonder, basically. Married, divorced, kids, common law, gay, asexual, whatever. Society is not that judgemental these days.  But you have to have some explanation. Trolling social media for girls 20 years your junior and using your celebrity status to star strike them the better to increase their vulnerability? Indefensible beyond all recognition.

Then again, so should be fraternizing with thugs, smoking crack, and showing up drunk at black tie events all over town.  The public is not rational.  It does not have a fair mind.  People write the most hateful and reprehensible things in the comments below articles, when they do not spread misinformation and lies.  The vitriol and incendiary behaviour pervades the portion of the public square that is online, as it ascends to the halls of power in the legislative chambers of all levels of government.  This is not the world one wants to broadcast and justify an affinity for "rough sex" into.

Court, jail, sentences, arguments, evidence, witnesses and yes, justice all still exist in 2014.  The legal matters and cases all grind their way slowly through that system through years and months, through appeals, precedent, jurisprudence, higher court rulings, overturned verdicts, more appeals, new laws, amended laws, repealed laws, and unenforced laws.  The "official" justice system exists alongside the "real" justice system, online where our thoughts and mores have been collectivized and where the judgements are swift, irreversible and merciless.

Monday, 6 October 2014

Worthless Rob Anders

Elections Canada has to review the electoral map every ten years to ensure that federal riding boundaries broadly reflect the distribution of population, but the government in power is required to propose the new ridings.  So to be fair, even though the Conservatives have been salivating for the last few years over the thirty or so new ridings that are being created, this is not a strictly partisan initiative of theirs.  Population growth has indeed occurred in suburban Vancouver and Ontario, and all over Alberta and Saskatchewan, so the electoral map has to be re-drawn to reflect that.  The Conservatives are lucky because these areas where the new seats are being created happen to be the areas where they are strongest.  I am sure they will take full credit for the correlation between population growth and their popularity, but sadly not everyone on Earth can live in McMansions and work in resource extraction as is their ardent wish.  That being said, the changes have already created the unintended consequence, and welcome development, of destroying the political career of one of the most odious people ever to sit in the house of commons.

It's complicated.  A sitting Member of Parliament is still required to be confirmed as the candidate to run for re-election as a member of his or her party by the local riding association of that party.  But as the sitting M.P. has the advantage of incumbency, they are rarely disturbed in this process.  This is due to the nature of our party leader-centred democracy; if the nominee has the support of the party brass, no one wants to see any messy nomination battles, and these get nipped in the bud when and if they ever occur, which is rarely.

Where it gets interesting is when new ridings get created, like right now.  The map is redrawn.  A new riding might comprise a large chunk of an M.P's existing territory, but it now contains new territory that previously belonged to another riding, just as it may have lost some territory to a new riding.  It no longer suffices for a sitting M.P. to say he is standing for re-election in his riding, because it no longer exists.  He must stand for nomination in the brand new riding just like any newcomer, even though he is a sitting M.P.

This brings us to the subject of today's column, Mr. Rob Anders.

Rob Anders has been the most cartoonishly outrageous member of the Conservative government in its nine years in power.  He was first elected to the House of Commons at the age of 25 in 1997, representing the Reform party and rounding out the so-called "Snack Pack" with Ezra Levant, Rahim Jaffer, and Jason Kenney.  Seventeen years later, while Ezra's an outrageous but rich pundit, and Jason a high-flying minister with leadership aspirations (Rahim flamed out due to a coked-out DUI), Rob has succeeded at collecting an MP's salary for 17 years for occasionally being offensive...and that's basically it.

Mr Anders' illustrious achievements as a legislator include calling Nelson Mandela a terrorist, comparing the 2008 Beijing Olympics to the 1936 Munich games, and suggesting that Tom Mulcair precipitated the death of Jack Layton, the better to ascend to the NDP leader position.  He is an evangelical fundamentalist conservative who has put in time with Focus on the Family and railed against gays and transgendered people, and who once told Canadian soldiers "When in doubt, pull the trigger."

If you haven't caught one of the many moments in the House of Commons where Rob is nodding off with his mouth wide open on CPAC, Canadian Veterans sure did when he nodded off during a Veterans Affairs committee meeting he was supposed to be chairing.  When they called him out for his unprofessionalism and disrespect, he replied that they were NDP supporters.  Despite his appeal in Calgary West, and his support from Conservative heavyweights like the Prime Minister and Jason Kenney, the local riding association was fed up with him, and attempted to contest his nomination in 2011.  He won again, and derided his opponents as "Liberals" and "Feminists" while doing so.  The narcoleptic zero earned the right to collect 165k a year of taxpayer money for four more years.

But this time, in 2014, the new riding of Calgary-Signal Hill was refused to Mr. Anders.  Former provincial cabinet minister Ron Liepert defeated him for the nomination to run for the Conservatives in next years election.  Even Rob himself couldn't stop Calgary from getting overrun by Liberals and Feminists this time.

Undeterred, Rob moved south of Calgary to Chestermere to try and win the nomination in the more sparsely populated, rural new riding of Bow River.  He was badly defeated and embarrassed by the locals, who saw and called his parachuting into the riding exactly for what it was.

Now we have a 2014 good news story, that a guy who once headed an  organization called Canadians Against Forced Unionism, but who has never himself worked a day in his life, a guy who will enjoy a full pension significantly higher than the median Canadian income just for sitting on his ass at home, will not be coming back to the House of Commons after the next federal election.  A guy who railed against unions and insulted the intelligence and good taste of all Canadians for 17 years ends up, like the worst pathetic example of the stereotype he mocked, moving to the next potential food source just to try and scam in some extra years on that generous government teat.  Mouthing off, falling asleep, and earning six figures was a pretty good living for seventeen years, but most people figure out at what point it becomes abuse of the public dime and they must be good at something else, anything, right?  Not Rob.  His lizard brain just told him to move where there are more rednecks.

Good Riddance Rob.  Lacking Credentials wishes you the best in your future endeavours.

Friday, 3 October 2014

American Exceptionalism

In response to the growing number of conflicts around the world, there is a feedback loop occurring between some people the North American media and many Republican politicians in the US.  It concerns the current US response (rhetoric with limited military actions) to the various crises and what the media people and politicians feel it should be (full-scale intervention).  Some of these conflicts have been festering for years or even decades.  Some of them are directly related to previous US foreign policy actions more than others.  Still others have just flared up in their latest incarnations in 2014.  But if there's one thing Ukraine, Gaza, Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Egypt all have in common, according to pundits and opportunistic politicians, it is that they have been miserably and utterly failed by President Obama and his refusal to intervene, militarily or otherwise, to save these nations from the dictators, militia, terrorists, and misery which have afflicted them all at various times.

Is there even a place to begin to explain what America's military resources could possible accomplish in six (6) different hornets' nests like these or what astronomical sums it would cost to bankroll? No, but if you are like any number of North American columnists (Charles Krauthammer is the most glaring example), you make a living mocking the President's "weakness", "indecisiveness", "lack of resolve", "naivete", and "complacency".  Apparently not planting the big fat index finger of the US military into the maps of any of the six conflict areas above is considered the reckless and dangerous way to proceed.  As bad as the bad guys are, there seems to be no acknowledgement of the limits of the power that can be projected or clear statement of what would be accomplished.  Just that enemy aggression is “unacceptable” and “cannot be tolerated”.

A US President once said "Walk Softly and carry a big stick", or at least this quote is attributed to one.  Meanwhile in the mid-2000s I do recall the term "Big Swingin' Dick" being used to describe the US President of the time's actions with respect to military and foreign policy.  And this incredibly crude and sexualized metaphor, so sadly typical of our era, nonetheless describes the expectation which seems to now permeate the logic of the Krauthammers et al of this world: that the President wields a sort of deathly phallus with which it his presidential duty to f&*( the world back into order.

We don't need to spill gobs of ink to question boots on the ground or drones in the sky in Libya, Egypt, or Syria.  3 trillion dollars and ten years of full blown US military occupation in Iraq gave the world ISIS.  Next door ISIS is fighting Bachar Al-Assad, and letting him deal with them actually seems like an efficient way to deal with him for all those he's massacred the last three years.  Ukraine (the Western half of it) desperately wants to escape from Russia's yoke, but the US and Europe are better off diversifying their gas activities and trade and maintaining their high standards of living than getting embroiled in a military dispute with a corrupt kleptocracy like Russia which seems to be getting crazy enough to pursue it.  It’s best to let Putin the chessmaster play by himself.

Every world power that has ever tried to engage Russia on its turf has ended up sorely regretting that error.  Russia, on the other hand, has never made it further west than Berlin and Prague, and never will.  Everyone on earth enamoured with Putin's own BSD posture (as an aside, has an anti-gay politician anywhere else polluted cyberspace with so many homoerotic images of themselves?) seems to forget that he controls a population one-tenth the size of China's or India's, and not even double Iran's. A population crippled with rampant alcoholism and other health problems beset by chronic out-migration and an abysmal birth rate.  This guy's pretension of world domination paid for by his country’s gas company are pure delusion and fantasy, and just because the amount of money he has siphoned out of Russia probably makes him the richest man in the world, we don't need to keep taking his increasingly bizarre course of action in which he behaves as if he was the most powerful man in the world seriously.

But why have these conflicts given rise to what seems to me to be such an abnornally high level of geopolitical discussion amongst everyday people? Why does everyone suddenly have an opinion about Ukraine, about Gaza, about ISIS.  I've even heard this past summer over beer and barbeque talk of ramping up to a third world war, and more passionate than usual ruminations about how f----- up everything is.  Is technological advancement to thank for our advanced geopolitical awareness?  Is it CBC and CTV's decision to talk about the stuff 24-7 rather than the usual mind-numbing summer politician barbeque crap?  One thing is certain, as we talk of these conflicts and their victims, the conversation inevitably turns to solutions, and as the conversation turns to solutions, it inevitably involves the US, the only entity anyone can think of that could ever conceivably have any resources or willingness to intervene.  How short our memories are.

Because you only need to recall the Iraqs, the Vietnams, the countless clumsy botched CIA hatchet jobs in South America of the last few decades to realize the United States deploying its military is usually followed by the words "quagmire" "imbroglio" "disaster" and "trillions".  It doesn't make you a pacifist to observe that none of these adventures, for all the time and money and lives lost, accomplished their stated objectives.  But the reasons we as a society leave room in the discourse to persist in this chimeric military posturing are twofold: #1) We have simultaneously projected the sentiments of guilt (Rwanda/Balkans - "We will never idly stand by and let this happen again.") and bravado ("WWII - If it wasn't for our ancestors we'd all be speaking German) onto our collective past, and so feel the need to expect military solutions to the world's problems, and,#2, we still believe in American Exceptionalism, that is to say that America has interests all over the world and has a duty to itself to project military might and intervene when necessary, because it is exceptional.  While it is true that America's military is indeed exceptional, this fundamentally self-absorbed, ego-driven mentality is repugnant to more than a few inside and outside America

It instead boils down to the hazy language of “interests”, which means we do not report conflict, strife, and death themselves but rather report them where America’s interests are at stake, in countries where it is convinced for one reason or another that it has skin in the game.  Egypt, Syria, Iran, and Iraq all are in the vicinity of Israel, which America subsidizes and considers it has a duty to protect, as well as Iraq, where $3 trillion plus has been just sunk trying to bring freedom and democracy to turn a formerly hostile dictatorship into a friendly oil-producer.  Because of the unintended consequence of sectarian bloodshed this has set off, that doesn’t look to be in the cards.  Ukraine, meanwhile, wants to join the loose military cooperation network known as NATO formed by the US, Canada, and most of Europe but has been thwarted by Russian speaking militias in its East who prefer ties to Moscow. Ideally for North America Moscow is the most isolated possible so it can stop its rooster behaviour and join the fold of Western democracy.  That’s a pipe dream at this point.

But returning to the idea of exceptionalism, if America is indeed exceptional and has a duty to project its military wherever threats are found, then there are two countries about whom we hear almost nothing, where internal conflicts have claimed thousands of lives, and who have no institutions or mechanisms to help them cast off the burdens of ethnic and religious hatred and warfare.  The countries I am referring to are South Sudan and the Central African Republic, two dirt poor countries which never make the CNN headlines and whose citizens are as much in danger as in any of the other places I’ve mentioned in this column.

South Sudan has been beset by internal strife since it became the world’s newest country in 2011, with tribal leaders vying for authority and internecine warfare displacing thousands, plus the usual resource related disputes.  In that type of environment you can be sure none of the riches from the oil are flowing to ordinary citizens who continue to experience abysmally low standards of living in addition to chronic insecurity.

The Central African Republic, meanwhile, or Centrafrique, is probably the most obscure country on Earth, a tiny, landlocked, undeveloped nation that was under the yoke of France for a long time, and here a genocide of the most toxic kind, Christian on Muslim violence, rages, yet there is no debate in the Canadian or any other parliament on how to address the situation.  The article by Neil MacDonald on cbc.cayesterday amply demonstrates this double standard, but he uses the Congo as an example, another lost and torn up place in Africa.

Since I started this article the debate on how to deal with ISIS has ramped up and several nations have committed troops and resources.  While the size of the territory controlled by ISIS is alarming and their shocking radicalism leads one to wish for their imminent destruction, they are surrounded by duplicitous countries (Turkey, Syria, Saudi Arabia) which can easily serve as conduits for their money, oil, and ideology, in both directions.

But it is not the traditional “American Exceptionalism” that will aim to bring down ISIS.  It is an American and the broader west’s “exception” that is made for all the places where real suffering and hell is going on, but for some reason is not acknowledged.

Thursday, 18 September 2014

Prentice the Pipeline Saviour Will Get Nowhere

In the dying days of the fall 2011 Ontario provincial election campaign, Dalton McGuinty, the incumbent premier at the time, and his brain trust made a conscious and deliberate decision to cancel two gas-fired power plants in Mississauga and Oakville.  The government was gunning for its third majority victory, and in its electoral calculus the four suburban seats in play surrounding those plants were indispensable.  Residents of said ridings were said to be strenuously opposed to said plants, even the real Erin Brockovitch came to one of their meetings, but they generated little to no opposition outside of them.  Population growth in the GTA has demanded new energy sources, plain and simple; that is why the plants were under construction.  Somehow the executive call got made to cancel them, without any public debate, when they were already being built.  A camera was placed on the site as construction continued for weeks after the projects were officially cancelled, by the opposition PCs; presumably they gained little benefit from it as they lost the 2014 election by a landslide.

Today this has all been forgotten.  In fact, lawsuits have recently been served to two members of the provincial legislature by Mr. McGuinty for publicly insinuating that he was involved in the cover-up (only his chief of staff at the time is under investigation.  A good example of a chief of staff's relationship with his boss is the character Doug Stamper in the Netflix series House of Cards) and he is back in Toronto officially registering to lobby Queen's Park for Desire2Learn, a Kitchener-based tech company looking to make some hay in the school system.  Talk about a triumphant return after running away to Harvard to lay low for a few months talking to super-elite American students about, I don't know, how stupid and ignorant regular people are.  I mean a billion dollars.  Only in Ontario, people.  Martha Stewart went to jail for $40,000, Conrad Black for maybe $6 million.  Neither of them have materially suffered since being made examples of by the justice system, but for the man to face no consequences or reprisal for a massively stupid and costly decision he clearly had a hand in -  and if he didn't then who was in charge?? - reflects very poorly on my home province indeed.

Lord knows the province has enough on its plate - high structural and social costs, factories closing, a poorly executed green energy strategy it has backed away from - and a massive chasm opening up between soaring and unaffordable Toronto, where everyone wants to be, comfortable, civil-servant economy Ottawa, which is boring and does just fine, and a bunch of aging, declining, economically depressed buttholes, whose realities, John Chen's nascent turnaround of Blackberry notwithstanding, are neither experienced nor appreciated in the province's two major centres.  Kathleen Wynne has been given the thankless job of turning around what McGuinty couldn't with his auto-bailouts and green energy schemes - so far her bright idea is to impose a new pension scheme on the province because people in Ontario are too dumb to realize that a financed Cadillac Escalade today is the difference between Cheerios and Whiskas in your seventies.

Alberta's previous premier had different sorts of problems.

Alison Redford's $45,000 flight to Nelson Mandela's funeral was the domino that turned the country's national media, and probably the segment of the province's population that follows politics closely (lower than elsewhere - gotta go to work!) into a fearsome cyclone of piranhas that totally destroyed her political career.  The stuff was just too juicy, too caricatural, and too much like tabloid fodder, in the sense that it just kept coming, to ignore (Okay, there were no crack pipes or drunken stupors, but we HAVE to start talking about something else, people!). Empty seats surrounding her bought for privacy. A fleet of government aircraft with her daughter and her friends in tow. A secret private penthouse being constructed in a government building in Edmonton.  A chief of staff making more than Stephen Harper's and Barack Obama's chiefs of staff.  Alberta has an image and a reputation - straight-shooting, blue-collar, and goddamn it, small government, and this stuff just didn't jive. So she went and hid out in Palm Springs for a month (it shows you how high a regard the elites that govern us hold us when our country is full of big open space and they feel the need to lay low in the States) and now no longer sits in the Alberta legislature.

But Alberta has a different set of problems as a province,too, although they are significantly more enviable than Ontario's.  Population growth is explosive.  Unemployment is low, and there are worker shortages everywhere.  Average weekly wages are sky-high, and the province generated the lion's share of the whole country's economic growth in 2013.  Not only are there the obvious issues of building all that new infrastructure and ensuring the communities are developed in a smart way with long term planning and vision (neither of which is likely occurring at this time), there is that festering energy issue.

Crude from the oil sands trades at a discount to crude from the rest of the world for a bunch of arcane economic reasons that are not the focus of this column.  That issue is focused on by the business press because it is related to the main issue, which is that the oil from the bitumen that is strip mined in the tar sands cannot be brought to market fast enough, or at least not if anyone want to significantly expand oil sands production, which of course all of the companies operating there do.  That's the easy problem.  Then there is the more inconvenient matter of the oil sands being an incredibly capital-intensive, but especially a carbon emissions-intensive, enterprise, and a growing number of governmental and non-governmental actors on earth recognizing the danger and the folly in continuing to carry on incredibly carbon emissions-intensive work given what we know about climate change.  The posture of Alberta's provincial and Canada's federal government has ranged from the delusional (look, we're getting really serious about reducing emissions - ha ha ha) to the current position which seems to be something along the lines of everybody just f--- off already.

It's hopelessly stuck in the mud.  Governments in the US and BC where the three proposed pipelines need to go are considerably more hostile towards them than the Alberta government, mainly I suspect because these governments and their constituents do not derive their livelihoods from extracting bitumen.  The world is going to move away eventually from gas, from cars, from all that - it's only a question of by force or by choice, and there seems to be a groundswell gaining consensus that we can't just keep pretending this problem doesn't exist.  It must be incredibly painful in Alberta to come to grips with the fact that despite this oil wealth and a ten gallon Stetson full of bluster, you are not in control of this situation.

In comes Jim Prentice, who was chosen as Alison Redford's replacement.  A formal senior minister in Stephen Harper's government holding portfolios such as Industry and Environment, he left to be a bigwig at a major Canadian bank and was tapped as a negotiator for one of the pipeline companies as a large part of these proposed pipeline routes pass through aboriginal land claim snafus and things of that nature.  With typical pathetic Canadian adulation (minister, banker, executive - this guy's going to get the job done!), Prentice was acclaimed in the Globe and the Post for the last two days as the guy who's got what it takes to defend Canada's moneyed interests and make them OK to the world.  Somehow convincing the world's population that it needs the oil sands more than it needs to worry about the oil sand's environmental record and potential fallout, that hey, we really are cooking up some hare-brained schemes to store carbon in the ground, because we cannot just go on generating the carbon with impunity even though that is exactly what we are doing and exactly what we plan to keep on doing, that yes a few thousand natives living downstream have really high cancer rates but hey, look at all this money were making, and we are going to convince everybody to let the pipeline pass through now after years of bad-mouthing them as enviro-fascists and without paying them off.

Good luck Jim.  I'd lend you my magic wand but I think I leant it to Harry Potter to play Quidditch.  Today I predict you will be as stuck in the mud as Kathleen in a few months time, though I'm sure you're both very nice in real life.  And Scotland will separate from the U.K. tomorrow.

Because there's the reality we wish we were dealing with.  And the reality we are actually dealing with.  And in 2014, that just keeps getting messier and messier.

Monday, 8 September 2014

Canada - The CBC's Worst Enemy

Without the vital service of our public broadcaster, who will break expired dog-treat re-packaging scandals?

When the Conservative government finally won its elusive majority in May 2011, I was well-prepared for the possibility that the CBC, Canada’s national public broadcaster, would before long cease to exist.  In all honesty I had even expected it.  I had already been an observer of Canada’s media and political landscapes for a long time and it was not unreasonable to expect that the Conservative party, who was ideologically opposed to the idea of a public broadcaster, deeply suspicious of this public broadcaster’s political leanings, and now had carte blanche in Parliament, to finish the job successive governments had started by repeatedly weakening the CBC with budget cuts.  It was hard to imagine that a government which had already displayed a penchant for a high degree of control in a minority Parliament would accept the ongoing risk of being the subject of investigative reports and/or unfavourable editorial content by an organization whose purse strings it held with a majority in Parliament. The logic of much of the government’s “base” and even some of its own members would seem to dictate that if a demand for such content existed, it could surely be met by the private sector.  Some Conservative M.P.s have already mused publicly about the fairness of a national broadcaster that, in their mind, espouses “liberal” political views, and even the most disinterested observer would have had to concede that, from the point of view of a Conservative, their argument was not entirely without merit.  So, you could see where this was headed.
It was an emotional issue for me.  Although I did have my own critiques of the CBC and wouldn’t go as far as to publicly identify myself as a “friend of the public broadcaster”, I consider it vital.  Like many Canadians, my affinity for the CBC had been developed over many years through a patchwork of auditory and visual experiences, some of which were moments of national communion: the 1996 Olympics and Donovan Bailey, Mr. Dressup, Hockey Night in Canada, Sidney Crosby’s Golden Goal, Cross Country Checkup and Stuart McLean while driving in the car, to name a few.  Like all Canadians, I had never actually paid directly for or requested the service yet there it was, my whole life, appearing in the corner when I least expected it and providing information and entertainment.  In addition to this what I would term “average” level of exposure to the Corporation, I had actually studied the history that led up to the creation of the CBC.     As a major in Mass Communications at Carleton University in Ottawa, a large part of my first two years of university studies were spent learning about the origins of this institution and the regulatory regime behind it; that is to say, reading a lot of incredibly dull and arcane academic texts that I’m sure 95% of Canadians have never read or, if they have had the misfortune to read them, will never read again.  That John Aird’s commission recommended to Parliament in the 1930s a national public regulatory regime and broadcaster to give the nascent independent democratic nation-state of Canada a cultural industry and national cohesion that it did not have is not unimportant history; it just looks pretty inconsequential beside the Battle of Hastings, the Fall of the Roman Empire, or the invention of the automobile.  Would-be media types who thought they had signed up to learn how to work in media left the program in droves; international students paying two, three, or four times the Canadian tuition rate no doubt considered asking for their five-figure sums back.  I discovered a niche had been created in Canadian academia studying a version of history that posited the CBC as an integral achievement within Canada’s ongoing nation-building project: a narrative that is hardly accepted with unanimity by an increasingly indifferent Canadian population.
Therein lies the death spiral that undercuts any discussion about why the CBC matters: Canada is insignificant, at least culturally on a global scale, therefore our society is insignificant, therefore our stories and events are bound to be by and large insignificant, and the media through which these are diffused is therefore insignificant.  Canadians are nonetheless significant to themselves – (how could they not be?) and it is also significant that well-meaning and enlightened individuals saw the importance of equipping the nation with institutions that could respond to its specific needs and act as a bulwark against the exploding American TV, film, and radio industries. These were bound to overrun whatever we managed to establish here before it even got off the ground, yet in today’s grand scheme of things, it is uncertain what they achieved.  What legacy will these institutions have when their trajectory under the current regime is certainly leading towards death by a thousand cuts and American pop culture remains more popular than ever?  Who will shed tears in Canada for the CBC, the NFB, Telefilm Canada, et al, when they cease to exist, when there remains so little left to cut that it becomes patently absurd to do anything else but shutter operations?  Why would they when they remember that $1,000,0000,000 per year gave us, among other things, Republic of Doyle and Being Erica (full disclosure – never watched either – like, I suspect, most Canadians) while Canadians tuned into Mad Men and Game of Thrones in droves without the Canadian government spending a dime (I never watched those either lest I be suspected of personal bias.  I don’t have cable. I did love Breaking Bad and House of Cards).  The only sure thing it seems the money spent on producing Canadian TV shows will buy is the certainty that no one will watch them.
Talking about this subject seems to inevitably follow a defeatist and cynical line of self-derision which makes the discussion itself seem hopeless.  Yet this situation need not bring about despair, and what will improve it is a new regime which sees the value in producing public broadcasting, news, and content with public dollars.  It will only work when all pressure to generate ratings, buzz, and popularity is removed; only the absence of pressure will eventually generate risk-taking, and then hopefully, authenticity and watchability.  In Canada our public media institutions have been in crisis for a long time, simply because conversations start with their entire existence being called into question.  How can anything be successful with a sword of Damocles constantly hanging over its head.  It’s like bringing a ten-year old in the kitchen every week and saying “We’d really like you to go to a prestigious school and be a huge success junior…if we decide to keep feeding you”.  This manufactured crisis of our own making is the result of this practice we Canadians are constantly engaged in, and if anything is going to be salvaged from our public media institutions it must stop.
Canadian pundits often bemoan the mediocrity of the CBC when they discuss its fate often compare it to the public broadcasting regimes of European countries which are popular and well-liked.  These organizations have, unlike the CBC, a simple, straightforward mission entrusted to them:  government gives adequate funding, government takes its hands off, organization produces enjoyable content a sizeable part of the population likes, because it is generally good.  What the CBC deals with is: government provides less funding than it did last year, another round of layoffs and cuts are announced, high-flying executives in the network’s byzantine structure of bureaucracy and management make statements filled with corporate jargon about “synergies” and “efficiencies” and “exciting new partnerships”, that nobody but them will ever be excited about, and the public becomes just a little more indifferent than it was last year, as the network struggles to deal with persistently lower ratings and declining revenues, pressures which successful public broadcasters do not and should not have to deal with.  Finally, we have a slew of commentaries and articles in the mainstream media ridiculing the CBC, a lot of which ridicule it frankly deserves because of this incoherence and self-inflicted calamity, and here we are right back where we started.

There is a simple solution to the CBC’s never-ending troubles, one that does not involve any more round tables, royal commissions, pie-in-the-sky proposals or national hand-wringing.  Double its budget, get rid of all the dreck and reruns in its schedule, stop chasing ratings with shows nobody takes seriously anyway, and allow anybody to come in and pitch stuff like a private network does.  That last point will be hard to implement as it will require a culture change of that union-seniority/public servant/gatekeeper mentality but this is a life or death struggle here.  But a stable ,multi-year funding commitment needs to be restored, because what the government is doing is in fact a much savvier calculation than if they had just eliminated the CBC right away, which they could have.  They are forcing it to do more with less with each passing year, making it fall backward flailing its arms into the abyss of redundancy, ensuring that with the passage of time it will be so universally reviled by Canadians that there will be no pain when the last remaining round of budget cuts – the final one – is announced.  

Sunday, 4 May 2014

War on Telecoms - State-Sponsored Economic Terrorism

This is the Actor you get in Conservative propaganda commercials paid for with millions of your tax dollars

The Conservative government does no one any favours with its vindictive obsessions. When this government decides it has a strategic or tactical advantage to gain from a particular course of action, it will let nothing stand in its path to get there. Logic, reason, common sense, and most of all, the public interest which they were elected to defend are all secondary priorities for the Conservative government. This has not only weakened our political structures and significantly deteriorated political discourse in this country, it has created a dysfunctional business environment where investors, businesspeople, workers, and customers have their interests compromised because of some minister decided his ill-conceived whims could score some political points.

Nowhere is this more evident than in the government's ongoing war with the telecom industry. First of all, tell me if you know anyone who can figure out why a government whose top priorities are supposedly “jobs and the economy” has spent significant political capital demonizing and picking fights with one of Canada's only genuine homegrown sectors, whose three main players operate across several industries, employ tens of thousands of Canadians, and provide one of the countries biggest capital pools that can (and will, make no mistake) be deployed into innovators and disruptors of modern technology. On paper, it makes no sense; in the Conservative strategy lab, it is a bet on the pathetic “consumer-first” agenda which characterizes people not as citizens who live in a society but as consumers who should have as much money as consume. And since the big 3 telecom players operate in industries which have traditionally been heavily regulated, what a great way for the government to weasel in some nanny state, planned-economy intervention to score some political points with people who love to complain that services they signed up for are too expensive.

Think about it: Canadians for the most part accept the principle of inflation, and the prices of food, gas, and real estate are grudgingly accepted as needing to increase regularly, even as prices for other key items like cars and electronics have stayed flat or come down. But one area where Canadians really feel they pay too much, thanks to the outrageously rip-off bundles they sign up for, are telecom services. In a populace that turns out to vote in feeble numbers and for whom major political issues barely register, this was a chance for Conservatives to seize something relevant to the majority of Canadian people.

And although the fact that they have spent time and deployed taxpayer money and resources in their fight against the telecom sector merits plenty of criticism alone, the real bonehead moves are their actions against the sector themselves, which someday will serve as a textbook example of why government intervention in industry is almost always doomed to fail. The country has had three telecom empires evolve over its history which mirror that history and now form an oligopoly: First Bell telephone in Montreal, which was the country's original economic and industrial base, then Ted Rogers' big bet on fibre optic cable in Toronto, whose payoff rode that city's economic expansion to the stars, and finally Telus out west, whose brash young CEO charted a bold plan to fill a void and elbow market share away from the two establishment players out east and succeeded. It is perfectly logical that today, being the only companies in Canada with the cash flow and the wherewithal to run businesses and networks with their reaches, that these companies continue to dominate the sector.

This is where the Conservatives come in. Their strategists, in their eminent wisdom, having no doubt consulted countless phds in economics, decided that the optimum number of Canadian telecom companies that should exist should be four. If this logic strikes you as having been lifted straight out of the book of Mao or Putin, it's because it is. There is no evidence that a fourth carrier would result in “more choices, better service, and lower prices”, the talking points the government incessantly repeats in response to any criticism; indeed, one struggles to understand how a startup would achieve these three objectives without the scale of the big boys, but this is not about economics. It's about politics. And this is what it's like when two world's collide.

The government has leverage in this fight because it decides who can bid for new “spectrum” - basically, parts of the network which are not up yet that the government owns. It already reserved spectrum for new entrants in the past, and new entrants were born. They were all cheap, edgy, independent, and innovative – and by 2014, they were all owned the big three except one. Fido, Koodo, Chatr, Virgin, Public – they all belong to the big three now. And they all made prices come down when they came out and are all still way cheaper than signing up directly with the Big Three. So explain to me – why don't you think Canadians have choices? Because to have cheap cellphone service, you have to sign up with cheap cellphone companies that are owned by the main ones? If the price is right, do you really care who you're buying from?

We don't know what koodo, fido, virgin and public's hundreds of thousands of users think, because the government never asked any of them and doesn't actually acknowledge these companies exist –becauseit doesn't fit into their narrative of one david versus three goliaths. But the best drama, and the reason for this column, is the one remaining cheapo character, Mobilicity, who has not been allowed to merge or be bought out. Let's recap the facts – Mobilicity has been bankrupt since June 2013, and is desperate to sell to a willing buyer – Telus – to pay off its creditors. It's 160,000 subscribers will be able to continue the existing arrangement they have. Yet Industry Minister James Moore has been publicly and deliberately blocking this sale because...Canadians need more choices and better services. Which happen by a government forcing a bankrupt company to keep the lights on to suit its own ideoligical narrative?

Because clearly, there is no other buyer for mobilicity. The government already looked like fools for rolling out the red carpet for Verizon, an American behemoth bigger than our big 3 combined, only to have Verizon decide that Canada wasn't worth the BS and the headache. Then Mr Sawiris, the Egyptian billionaire who started Wind Mobile, took off when the government refused to let him purchase the Allstream division Manitoba Telecom Services was desperate to sell him. So we can't actually convince a huge multinational to take a risk here, so risky is our telecom sector to operate in, and one of the smaller regional telecom players our country does have has been hindered in its efforts to run its business because of more government interference and meddling.

If there was a real problem and Canadians were suffering from mental illness and malnutrition from the burdensomeness of their telecom bills, government intervention might be justified. But as usual, the real world is evolving light years faster than idiotic bureaucrats in Ottawa could ever bother to take notice of from their six-figure perches. Home phone service is decreasing every year as people realize they barely use it. Canada wide unlimited cellphone plans are available from all the majors' discount labels for under 45 bucks a month. Rip off internet service has been halved by smaller players like TekSavvy, Canac and Distributel, if you're just smart enough to use them. Phone service to anywhere in the world can be obtained for pennies now through MagicJack, or byjust using skype and google talk applications on any device. “Cord-cutting” is endemic – cable packages that used to make Rogers, Quebecor, and Cogeco solid blue chips with utilities-like profit predictability of profits are now threatened – not just by Netflix but by torrents, apple tv and the proliferation of sites offering free streaming of just about any tv show and live sports. Jail-broken phones are easily obtained as well now and telecom customer service operators can be spun for upgrades, new phones and extras all the time as their margins are constantly under pressure in this fiercely competitive industry.

It is clear that big telecom faces enough challenges to its established business model – I'm not paying them, and I may have bailed at the top of my Bell and Rogers investments – without a government fomenting anger against them and making arbitrary decisions that are in nobody's interests – not even consumers – but Conservative Pollsters. There is a time and place for government intervention. In 2008 the Conservatives blocked a takeover of MacDonald, Dettwiler & Associates – a top-flight, homegrown aerospace firm responsible for the Canadarm – from an American hostile bid looking to scoop up valuable assets in the bargain basement during the economic crisis. Canadian jobs, expertise, assets, and strategic information in an ultra-high value sector were protected from a predator looking to poach precious talent and resources and add no value. It would have been a shame had that decision been subjected to the free market. In this current example, however, we are witnessing nothing more than political oppotunism exploiting ignorance and apathy (nothing makes peoples' eyes glaze over like telecom regulations) causing real havoc and instability in a very important (it is, hate it all you want) sector of the Canadian economy.

Thursday, 10 April 2014

Anglicisation in Montreal - An Issue for Paranoid Non-Residents

The election autopsy of the massive heart attack the Parti Quebecois suffered on Monday has been duly performed by national and provincial media outlets in Quebec, Canada, and I will refer the reader to these rather than repeat all the reasons the most incoherent, bizarre, ridiculous campaign a modern North American incumbent government has ever run caused it to implode. This obviously gave someone like me great pleasure to witness, and you only need to read my last entry to find out why. But just before...just before the door hits the PQ's arse on its way out, I would like to remind it of one glaring, gaping hole in, if I may call it that, for the future of the province. One that it has not been taken to task on by said media outlets. It has to do with the city I live in, Montreal.

The PQ and its sympathizers and sycophants across Quebec media often issue stern warnings of the “problem” in Montreal. That there is an “anglicisation” of the island, that job postings in North America's twentieth-largest city and the only French-speaking one of these often require bilingualism, that some retail and shop employees in the downtown have taken to an annoying greeting habit of saying “Bonjour-Hi” and that drastic measures must be taken to halt these tendencies at all costs. Never mind the fact that the Liberal party of Dr. Philippe Couillard, who outgoing Premier Pauline Marois accused of “refusing to defend our language and culture”, took 21 out of 28 seats on the island and the several of the ones on the Western half by upwards of 75-80% of the vote – the actual residents of this island cannot assess the hazards of the situation and need the munificent PQ to do it for them.

But even if I do find the “Bonjour-Hi” thing a little annoying personally, it's not something that is going to change my day one way or another. I do, however, take offense to a government being paid with our tax dollars using its resources and energy to try and regulate or legislate around this. Defeated Montreal-area PQ cabinet minister Diane De Courcy intended to do just that when she referred to this situation as being “inacceptable” and that it was necessary to take measures. No need to mention facts like that Montreal has lost hundreds of thousands of its native English speakers to other North American cities over the years, that the drop in French speaking households is not due to French people giving up speaking French but rather their decamping to the surrounding suburbs, many of whose populations have doubled, tripled, quadrupled and are almost entirely French speaking, and that most abstract yet most damning truth – a language that has to be forced upon and legislated into a milieu has by that point equal or lesser chances of surviving than if you just left it alone and didn't make people associate it with restrictions and bureaucrats. In other words, if people in government offices and tax dollars are keeping a language alive, (“Hello, Gaelic!”) it's already too late.

The PQ supporters and the people who leave comments on the online version of Le Devoir are mistaken in their belief that downtown Montreal represents some kind of English beachhead (cancer) that will spread to the entire province. I have been in many parts of Quebec and nothing could be further from the truth. In any case it is futile to try and convince this crowd; they will label me as the angry resident English speaker and just accuse me of playing to type, and I will leave that role to the Gazette who so reliably fulfills it. I will instead attempt frame this in a broader, more global context to give the Bonjour-Hi in downtown Montreal English fearers some perspective.

Montreal's weaknesses are numerous and on display for all its residents to see, but it's strengths – educated workforce, cosmopolitan destination, diverse human capital, low cost of living - lead to achievements that the PQ is only too anxious to appropriate as its own. Witness Mme Marois rushing with her local MNAs (all high profile cabinet ministers) to hand out subsidies and tax breaks so they can do photo-op announcements with local high-tech knowledge industry players like Ubisoft, or boast about attracting a large investment for a plant and hiring commitment in high-end manufacturing from a massive multinational like Siemens. This is because she prioritizes, in her words, “secteurs de pointe”, or cutting edge industries: those high-value, high-paying jobs that every politician wants to attract for obvious reasons. High-profile Montreal minister Jean-Francois Lisee, meanwhile, gushed effusively on his blog about traveling in India and China and seeing the great work “nos entrepreneurs” as in, Quebec businesspeople, were doing over there. It was nice of him to point that out, but I don't even want to know what it cost the taxpayer for him to be able to do that.

The point is that it is now clear that PQ was talking out of both sides of its mouth: dumping on English, Jews, Muslims, and Sikhs in the rural areas to score votes while presenting itself as an innovative, leading-edge, clean-tech superstar in Montreal. Obviously it was a huge miscalculation in that the people the latter appeals to would be too disgusted by the former to swallow it. And even several areas “en region” (Quebec parlance for “outside Montreal”) surprised the media, which unfairly paints it as being a uniformly white, insular, french, racist bloc, by kicking out PQ incumbents, showing that tolerance for stupidity is at comfortably low levels all across this beautiful province. More importantly, it shows a clear mismatch between “values” the PQ espouses on behalf of the population and one of its ambitions.

The ambition is for Montreal to be the North American equivalent of Berlin, Amsterdam, Stockholm. These are medium-sized cities with non-English speaking majorities, value-added sectors, and an undeniable cool factor, which is so prevelant in residents that they are kind of intimidating, at least to go live in. Montreal would love to be considered in the same class as these cities; if it is, the PQ no doubt considers itself the chief architect of that fact. The parallels with Berlin in particular – long periods of decline, economic stratification between east and west, low rents that persist up until today, vibrant arts sector (although Berlin, the epicentre of Europe and ground zero of World War II and the third biggest economy in the world's split, is obviously much more hardcore and heavyweight in all of these respects) – are striking. Yet do German politicians fret about the creative types flocking to Berlin from all over the worlds' inability to speak German? Do they dream up schemes to force non-German speaking individuals to run their two-employee tech startup in German, then make them apply for an exception through a byzantine bureaucracy to be able to put up a job posting requiring English fluency? How about a cafe owner being allowed to fire his minimum-wage, immigrant employee for not taking a turban or hijab off?

Germany was the birthplace of nazism, and no doubt continues to count adherents to extreme-right wing fascist ideology among its population today. Such movements exist as well in the other cities I mentioned, Stockholm and Amsterdam, as well as all over Europe; in Greece and Hungary – poorer, less developed economies - they are gaining dangerous amounts of traction. Yet in none of these places are these groups, which would support such proposals as I described above, anywhere close to the levers of power. Here in Quebec, these were ideas put forth by various members of the PQ government that was in power up until three days ago. This is, I suspect, one of the factors precisely preventing the ambition of Quebec's economic capital, Montreal, becoming a global, innovative, creative, plus-value city, from being realized.

I do not want to give the impression that PQ has been a neo-nazi party from the get-go or anything. But the party of national legends like Rene Levesque and Lucien Bouchard – erudite, logical, intellectually forceful men – has fallen hard and has fallen far to be recruiting crackpot candidates who write about kosher and halal food as secret tax conspiracies to line the pockets of rabbis and imams, or trots out 89 year old former celebrities to talk about fantasies of muslim men and McGill students forming cabals to take over her apartment building's swimming pool. In the newspapers, pequistes are defending themselves saying they have been unjustly compared to putin, stalin, hitler, et al. I will grant them that those comparisons are unfair, if anybody indeed made them. They are clearly, however, at least as loopy as some of the talking heads on Fox News.

If pequistes were serious about wanting a country that would include this jewel of an economic capital, maybe they can make a case based on economics, governance, or efficiencies. If they think they will continue to dream about it on the pillars of language, culture and identity, their decline will only be further cemented. And no place in Quebec is more illustrative of this gap than that dynamic, edgy, modern city the PQ wish they swept and instead got almost shut out of, Montreal.

Sunday, 23 March 2014

Quebec Separation Debate - Deal or No Deal


We have entered a period in the last two months where the political climate in Quebec has become polarized.  It is unfortunate because you read the National Post and the Globe and Mail and then go read Le Devoir and it becomes clear that the two camps which Pauline and company have been so generous to re-divide Quebec and Canadian society into profoundly misunderstand each other and do not trust or respect one another.  To English Canadian and Quebec federalists, separatism is an irrational, ridiculous, and needless destructive pursuit, driven by anxiety about identity that amounts to tribalism.  To francophone Quebec separatists, English Canada is an entity that doesn't care about them, doesn't know anything about them, doesn't care to know anything about their society, language and culture except to retain jurisdiction over these domains and, eventually, impose its English language on them and assimilate them.  I used to sympathize with these folks a lot more until I came and actually lived here.

The following truths I have noted are not to rub dirt in the face of Quebec nationalists if they lose their bid to form a country (which I hope they do) but to add my bit of resistance as a Quebec resident to what I see as an illegitimate attempt by the Parti Québécois to usurp the province's identity in its entirety and monopolize the meaning and the direction of that identity.  To put it bluntly, I live here, raise my kids here, and pay taxes here and I am not a fucking guest of the PQ.  They are not keepers of the holy see, some inner sanctum heart of hearts of sacred Quebec nationalist ideology, which is what they reveal to perceive themselves as when they say they need a majority for a charter, a third referendum, independence etc.  Of course they don't like to talk about these last two subjects during campaign, and have been trying to change the channel for the past weeks, because this subject reveals them for the extraordinary hypocrites that they are. But that's the risk you take when you add a celebrity billionaire candidate like Pierre Karl Péladeau to your roster to bolster your economic credentials.  CEOs aren't used to the scripts and filters which rob the political discourse of its substance, and he spoke with none on that fateful Sunday when he announced his candidacy.

Because I will be accused of English Canadian bias (because being an English Canadian makes me have zero credibility as far as the Mahatma high priests of Quebec culture are concerned), I will argue reasons I have against separation, (and therefore against a PQ government, as the election of one will create uncertainty and anxiety on that subject, if not advance it) as coldly and rationally as possible, without provoking the emotion and anger that almost always poisons this debate.

#1 - Numbers.  I can understand if you are a francophone Quebecer and speaking English has never really been your thing or, you can speak English perfectly but for some obtuse ideological reasons prefer not to, why you would want to form your own country to not be restrained by the Canadian constitution in linguistic rights, legislation banning hijabs, etc, in other words, things which mean nothing to you that you are forced to respect.  It would feel unfair and limiting to have alien or foreign forces dictating what you can and cannot do, preventing you from emulating France, that declining bankrupt country that doesn't give a shit about you  (This is an over-generalization of the PQ electroate - I estimate we can further break it down to be about 1/3rd urban, educated bien-pensants like I just described, led by the opinionated minister Jean-Francois Lisée, and 2/3rds rural/blue-collar/welfare, led by Péladeau's trash tabloids and trash TV).

The demographic I just described, three thirds combined, God Bless their secular charter, numbers by my estimate approximately 25-30%  of the Quebec population.  That is too big of a number to write off, which is why we are still dealing with this bullshit as a country thirty, forty, fifty, one hundred and fifty years later (Quebec nationalism can be traced back to, well, all the way back to 1763 when French and English soldiers were at war over the territory.  Thing is, it's also been part of Canada for the same amount of time).  There is another 8-10% of the population which feels little or no attachment to Canada as well, while perhaps not being as overtly hostile toward it; as such, sovereignty consistently polls in the 40% range.  Not bad, but sure nothing to make a country with.  And for those who think the 1995 referendum was stolen I ask, how do you propose to unite a society on such a divisive issue?  Is 51% an acceptable majority to create a new country?  Practical reality tells me its not.

And if francophones were an oppressed majority (80% of the population), yet 60% of the population favours staying in Canada, do the math.  That's right. Even half the francophones do not want to leave.  This places the sovereigntist forces in a very tenuous position as far as creating a country is concerned.  They don't have, and have never had, the numbers.  But mythology is more powerful than facts.  Their cries of "fifty plus one" which is the magic number that is all they think they need to get their "country", ignores what happens to the millions of Quebecers rights and freedoms guaranteed by their Canadian citizenship that they choose not to revoke.  It is also very arrogant and parochial of them to claim to speak for all francophones, and shows an enormous sense of entitlement.  Can 8 million people really be forced into something only 3.2 million want on a good day and none of whom out of that can even explain coherently how it would work? (Listen to the leader's stumbling about no borders, Canadian dollar, Canadian passports.  Why the hell do you want a country then?).

#2 - Distribution

The four biggest cities in Quebec are Montreal (1.8 million), Quebec City (760,000), Laval (400,000) and Gatineau (315,000), making up approximately 41% of the province's entire population and generating (by my estimate) at least 65-70% of its GDP.  Probably more.  The Parti Québécois would have zero chance of convincing majorities to vote for independence in any of these cities.

Why not?  All except Quebec city include sizeable anglophone communities, but at an official 8% of the province's population, this should hardly matter.  Quebec City remains a primarily French and deeply conservative city, but as the seat of the provincial government, counts tens if not hundreds of thousands of active and retiree provincial civil servants amongst its population.  Yet even this city struggles to embrace the PQ.  Although PQ supporters are spread across the province, including within these centres, it is worth considering why they are unable to obtain a plurality of votes within a first past the post electoral system.

I believe it is partly due to the nature of the voters and partly to the nature of these communities.  Montreal and Laval, are home to hundreds of thousands of people from all over the world, and are receiving the vast majority of the 55,000 immigrants who arrive in Quebec each year.  They are also home to hundreds of multinational companies, corporate head offices, and nationally (as in Canada) important public institutions and infrastructures which put together obviously employ a great deal of the population.  As much as this must exasperate the PQ, economic and livelihood considerations (job security, real estate values, state of local infrastructures) are likely to trump language and culture in these centres, as well as the desire to remain the choice international destinations for capital, tourism, and cosmopolitan lifestyles in North America's most underrated country, Canada.  Of course the PQ believes that this situation is all their doing and they therefore are entitled to monopolize it for their own ends but go ahead, try again with your charter and referendum and get embarrassed even worse than you were last time.   Cities populated by "citizens of the world" do not vote for paranoiacs who think they are going to save their culture by legislating discrimination against linguistic and religious minorities.

Why can't the PQ get a toehold in Quebec's industrial/technological/franco heartland that stretches from Quebec City's southern suburbs to the Beauce region and Thetford Mines? Beats me.  These are the only areas of the province where the federal conservatives have deputies.  Small business, low taxes, and individual freedoms are popular political themes among residents, if you listen to the local talk radio or read Maxime Bernier's blog.  To its credit, this province is diverse and is not in its entirety the eco-socialist nightmare its detractors in Western Canada think it is.  And that's a good thing for those of who live here and shudder at the thought of Bernard Drainville trying to impose his "values" on us for a second term.

#3 - Hypocrisy

Speaking of Mr Drainville, maybe he can tell us where he'd be getting a paycheque in his new republic of Quebec if (we can only pray to Allah, his nemesis) he ever loses his seat in the National Assembly.  Oh, I guess it would be a pension from CBC where he used to work which is a federal crown corporation and...deposited into his bank account at a Canadian financial institution (Sorry Bernard, even the Caisse Populaire's holdings in the rest of Canada are vast and growing).  I think most Quebeckers and Canadians can only dream of railing against a country's existence while collecting a fat-ass paycheque from it.  And there are several people at ICI Radio-Canada in a similar situation.  Which leads us to ask, how many honest to god Quebec entrepreneurs, captains of industry, job creators, and owners of companies that actually pay people (not government subsidized cultural industries) have made passionate sorties in favour of separatism other than the Peladeau family.  Right.  Zero.  I know it's cool to attack the rich here and nobody wants to thank business for this economy whose fruits we all enjoy but seriously.  I want all the social democrats to remember that their cultural heroes all live on the public dime to the tunes of multiple six figures and yes, that public dime comes from all of Canada's environmentally unsustainable, resource-based, capitalist economy.   Not saying that like it's a good thing but it's a true thing that should lead to some soul-searching for quite a few people. 

#4 - Division

The PQ strategy is to be so elitist, so disconnected, so morally repugnant as individuals and as a party that non-Quebecois de souche will leave in anger and disgust as these idiots refuse to confront economic and demographic realities and bankrupt this place by creating new social programs when existing ones are not even solvent and pass laws as draconian as requiring businesses to request exceptions, special permits to advertise the need for bilingual employees.  You morons its 2014.  Why don't you go to a country of similar size like Hungary or Sweden and tell me if legislators waste their time on such pointless bullshit?  You will not divide us and make us flee - reasonable people - normal, honest, interesting Quebec people see your stupidity for what it is and will stand up to your bullying until it stops.  Because losing to you idiots would be the most pathetic thing in the world.  It would make us even bigger losers than you.

Saturday, 1 March 2014

Fear and Loathing at Canada Post

How does a nation protect a venerable ancient institution like its postal service?  How do you square the fact that the post still has an important role, albeit not one as central as it had in the past, in today's society, while recognizing that the service is not as relevant today as it once was? How do you address the truth that the lack of profitability in traditional mail creates a situation of taxpayer-subsidized busywork?  I don't have specific answers to these questions, but I do know that the party that is responsible for answering them, the Canadian government, is making just about the worst job possible of it.  Through their actions, they are ensuring that the service Canadians expect steadily declines, which creates antipathy toward postal workers and Canada Post, and in turn gives the government licence to ignore postal workers and their concerns (the cynicism manifests itself in government responses which amount to who sends mail any more anyway? Ha ha ha), which then further demoralizes postal workers, which in turn lowers the service level even more.

This is the negative feedback loop dynamic Canada has been stuck in with its postal service for almost three years, and the radical changes coming into effect right now ( a 30% stamp price increase, no more door to door home delivery) is sure to add fuel to the raging junk mail fire.  This is not an issue the government has any interest in engaging with, for the simple reason that it contains no political benefit for them, and their formal position on the changes in the postal landscape so far has been callous dismissal.  The website of the Canadian Union of Postal Workers, on the other hand, features plenty of ideas, petitions, demands, righteous indignation, and frustration, but Lisa Raitt (or whichever pylon minister is responsible for this file now) has been content so far to ignore any and all of this noise and just keep that back to work legislation at the ready.  How do we get a file that has been allowed to corrode to this point out of the ditch?

One thing is certain, things have not been the same since the strike.  The "essential service" or "minimum service" or whatever was in effect during the first year the fight dragged on between the government and the union was erratic, unreliable, and anything but punctual.  This may be anecdotal based on my experience, but it has mostly continued despite a "deal" being reached in June 2012.  The Post was a well-oiled machine before that strike.  Now the mail is often late, missing, or arriving in bunches after several days of nothing.  A birthday card I sent did not arrive on time because of a feud over the condition of the recipient's front steps.  A document my wife urgently needed (because the party whom she needs to send it to needs an "original". Such parties are the roadblocks to society's universal conversion to PDFs.  More on that later) has arrived today 5 business days after its postmark.  So much for that 1-2 business days inter-provincial turnaround promised on mailboxes.  I don't blame the postal workers for this.  Nobody wants to work for an employer that clearly views them as an inconvenience, and despite the "arms-length" nature of Crown Corporations, there is little doubt in anybody's mind about where the buck stops with these hybrid entities - the Federal Government.  So when your employer tells you that they expect you to deliver mail to a million more addresses in five years, with 7,000 less employees, and find 5 billion dollars in profit to boot to plug that hole in your pension plan, how do you feel about your job?

Yes, the government deserves full marks for kicking Canada Post employees where it hurts, and delivering mail not an easy or pleasant job by any stretch of the imagination.  But we must acknowledge that it is unnecessary in 2014 - if not outright absurd -  to send a document down a rabbit hole of complex journeys by truck, train, plane, and foot, through distribution centres, and to have complete trust in this system to deliver that document, with no mechanism to get that document back or to even know where it is, wait several days AND pay 63 cents PLUS your time to locate a mailbox to physically walk to and drop it in.  Or, I could scan said document right here where I'm sitting right now, email it, and have it to that other person instantly.  And if they claim they never got it, guess what? It's right here in my sent with date and time stamped to prove it.   Yes e-commerce is not the "zero carbon footprint" phenomenon you thin it is because servers do eat up a ton of energy, but being that one of CUPW's arguments against abolishing of home delivery is the "increase in emissions" that will result, I think it stands to reason that the electronic process I described above is exponentially simpler, easier, more convenient and lower impact than the manual one.

These decisions are not made by Canadians after sessions of internal tortured reasoning and argument, they are made on the basis of choice.  What is easier? And the answer can be found in mail volumes, which are declining precipitously every year.  And before I get called out as merciless, efficiency-seeking, ruthless modernizer, let me tell CUPW and its members that I am one of the deranged weirdos who still sends physical letters to his friends.  Yes, I am a purist who believes there is innate value in the medium of the letter which is lost in electronic communication.  Sadly, me and some other romanticists are not going to keep a multi-billion dollar postal operation afloat, so we need to look at our options here.  And the options are all unpleasant.  The Post has to make some hard choices.

Back in the 1990s, when the Post was swimming in red ink like it is now, a less tough choice was made.  A network of brick and mortar post offices, where unionized employees were paid high salaries and benefits to essentially do retail/clerical work (sell stamps and envelopes, process money orders and money transfers, send packages) were shuttered.  Now your trip to the "post office" is likely to be to inside a grocery store, convenience store, or pharmacy, and where the "postal" employees work for that grocery store, convenience store, or pharmacy chain.  As such they receive the market wage for this kind of work, e.g., close to minimum wage, because if Shoppers or IGA or Deepak's Convenience pays $25 an hour to man a cash register, they will pretty much be out of business.

The Union hates this, of course.  They have a mandate to protect their workers' interest whatever the cost, and if that means saying that their workers have "expertise" at selling stamps in protest to the end of their retail monopoly, they will say it.  The example above illustrates why they act this way: when there is no threat of going out of business, in simple terms when you are allowed to keep operating even though your liabilities exceed your assets because you are owned by the government, you don't care about whether your service is profitable or whether people even use it.  All that matters is you make your workers appear like suffering victims as much as possible, like they couldn't have possibly been expected to save a dime of those great wages they earned yesterday.  They will need higher wages tomorrow regardless.  Even unionized private sector workers do not have this sense of entitlement - just ask workers at GM, Chrysler, and Loblaws, to name three, whose union leaders would ask for the moon with the routine belligerence until market conditions caused their members to actually accept pay cuts to keep their jobs.

I mention this because there are still a number of said non-retail "post offices" (real brick and mortar ones, like from the 1950s), in rural areas.  These are of course the ones the CUPW is fighting tooth and nail to keep open on its website.

Of course, this is where the issue gets murky and we have once again problems stemming from a business being run by the government.  The government derives a lot of its support from rural areas, and is loathe to pose any gesture which might annoy them now.  People in such areas tend to look on big city folk and their ways with suspicion, and do not want any downtown urban custom like buying  stamps inside a Shoppers Drug Mart imposed upon them.

Another demographic it was widely believed the government courts heavily is seniors.  Apparently not, with the two opposition parties as well as provincial and municipal politicians rushing to the barricades to cast themselves as tireless defenders of seniors' right to home delivery.  But I think the government is shrewdly playing its cards here - they are taking the calculated risk that committed senior conservative voters will not ditch them over this.  And if a few do, well, that's the cost of doing business.  Just look at how they threw veterans (another supposed core constituency) under the bus.

All these battles over optics, fought in a climate of delay, denial, ignorance, and apathy do the Post and the population it serves no favours.  There is a simple way to get it back on track.

-Urban delivery on its own, believe it or not, is still profitable.  It's the staggering distance, low density, and wide open space of rural routes that make them chronic money losers.

-The Urban operations should be spun off into a private entity with the option to look at options like banking and other services to diversify their revenues as letter volume inevitably decline further.  They can also expand or spin off the already profitable and growing Purolator package delivery business they own.

-Meanwhile, sick banks, the pension liability and the money losing rural service need to be absorbed into the general government revenue as a huge, painful, one-time charge.  It's going to hurt but it's the right thing to do for everyone who's already been promised the moon.  Meanwhile, new hires need to be hired on a much more flexible, cost-effective compensation system.

Will we get that? Not with this government, who would rather brag about a fake surplus than deal with a real financial problem the country has.  They will ensure that postal workers' working conditions further deteriorate, that the use of the post declines further with its reliability, and the liability transferred to future taxpayers will be even greater for something they are ensuring will be much less significant in Canadian every day life.  The Post Office is a government mandated and provided service, which is something the current government fears and loathes.  Another term, and they will ensure that it is something most Canadians do, too.

Sunday, 23 February 2014

The Lifecycle of a Middle Class Voter

Let's see how the beaten, downtrodden, sorry-assed middle class canadian has been left for dead by Stephen Harper.

Average middle class Canadian is 41,4 years old, about the same as their champion Mr. Trudeau.  After 15 years and a few switches in jobs, they (husband and wife) are clinging to (insert redundant white collar admin or blue collar assembly line job here).  They have a company RRSP at work but they never read the brochure because they understood their paycheque would be lower and anyway, they don't like talking about that stuff.  They worry about their future and saving for their kids, aged 8 and 10, education.  They haven't put any money aside for this but do pay for cellphones for them.  Other than 15,000 invested in a tax free savings account earning 1%, they have no assets, but they do have two car loans, a line of credit at 30 grand, and they don't always manage to pay the credit card in full but some months they do which is better than some people they know.  Their house is in what was a treeless new development 50 km from the city 10 years ago but today is a community with a mall, they bought it for 195,000 and someone told their neighbour his is now worth almost 400k.  They are proud of this and of working hard and managing their debt, but things don't seem to be getting any easier.  Husband has had two layoffs in last 5 years and thankfully just got called back 9 months ago.  The youngest needed therapy which was expensive.  The family has it all you know big screen TVs, lawnmowers, snowblowers, sun wing vacations in the dominican every year but is still "struggling" and just can't seem to get ahead.

Welcome to the world of joe six-pack, the average Canadian voter assiduously courted by all three parties.  None however is more shamelessly pandering to this demographic than the new Liberals under Justin Trudeau. The Liberals and Conservatives (who will boast to you with a smile that their "big data" figured this all out - I could have saved them a lot of money and told them to just stand around any Canadian kitchen during a party, or drive around any major city, or read any newspaper any day of the week to see/hear/read live examples of where Canada's at) look at this demographic as a treasure trove of voters - an electoral gold mine.  Why? The strivers, the people who "play by the rules to get ahead" are the most profitable group to go after.  Old people, as much as they are portrayed as this captive audience, are not as dumb as we think they are.  Mostly they are set in their ways.  So they do vote, yes, but they do not swing very much and their political leanings are anything but monolithic.

Young people and rich people also have a pretty good idea of who they want to vote for, especially if they are educated (and they majority of them are).  This also puts them at great risk for seeing politics for the waste of time and energy that it is and freeing up their minds to focus on more important, productive things.  So the prize, the low hanging fruit if you will, is our downtrodden, beseiged, "middle-class".

So when we look at the average middle class voter we see that he/she is 1)financially illiterate 2)in debt up to their eyeballs 3)dependent on an unstable livelihood 4)experiencing no material shortcomings despite all this.  Now, I would like someone to explain to me how this person is somebody I am supposed to feel sorry for, or how they are suffering by any stretch of the imagination. 

The middle class people like Trudeau lionize, either because they really know nothing about economics or they just want power or both, have nobody but themselves to blame for the consequences of their behaviour.  They are living beyond their means, make no sacrifices, are over-leveraged, and do not take advantage of GREAT GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS that ALREADY EXIST for the purpose of building wealth and are FREE like TFSAs, RRSPs, and RESPs, nevermind tax deductible leverage interest and dividends and capital gains tax rates.  Before one more idiot bores me to death about how the 1% stole all the money, I would like to remind him that there is no net worth requirement and no minimum amount to take advantage of all these things I just mentioned, but only rich people do it.  Plenty of average folk could be on their way to the 1% if they grew a pair and took some risk (no such thing as a free lunch), another concept that is just not understood at all by the masses, and plenty more average folk make six figure salaries but save jack squat, thereby placing themselves in the boat with the same economic mobility as minimum age earners.

I guess its more expedient politically to tell people how they got fucked over even if its a lie than give them some useful information on how they can improve their lot in life (Live within your means - save for tomorrow - shun mass consumerism - don't become beholden to one volatile source of income that owes you nothing beyond your next paycheque).  If you earn good money today save it because who knows if those skills will be in demand tomorrow.  The world changes fast now.  Just remember if the middle class is struggling its due to their own poor-decision making and ignorance and that it their fault, not Stephen Harper's.  Nice opening convention Trudeau you're a nice guy but still pretty much full of shit as far as your political ideas are concerned.